It looks like apparently good news but I’m not convinced that it’s “real”.

The proportion of A level students taking maths with the core science(s) is increasing according to the Royal Society report published last week “Preparing for the transfer from school and college science and mathematics education to UK STEM higher education”. The figure below is taken from this report and shows the proportion of students who take core sciences that include biology (B) (alone or with Chemistry (C) and/or Physics (P)) either without maths (in blue) or with maths (in red). This data is for England but a similar pattern is seen elsewhere in the UK. The left hand pair of blue and red columns is for 2005, the middle for 2007 and the right hand side is for 2009.

However, if you add up all the A level students taking one or more of the core sciences (biology, chemistry, physics) or maths there has been no overall change since 2005. Though remarkably the proportion of students who take sciences is much higher in Scotland (~60%) and Northern Ireland (~44%) than England and Wales (34-37%) (this is in table 3.2 of the report).

Now if you put this information alongside the data from the report “Understanding the UK Mathematics Curriculum Pre-Higher Education” by Stephen Lee, Richard Browne, Stella Dudzic and Charlie Stripp of the MEI (http://www.bioscience.heacademy.ac.uk/ftp/resources/pre-university-maths-guide.pdf ) which shows the proportion of students taking A level mathematics as a percentage of the total number of A level entries you see a dramatic dip between 2002 and 2005 (I’ve plotted the data from this report to make it easier to see the changes).

Prof Adrian Smith’s Inquiry “Making Mathematics Count” (published 2004) lays the blame for this dip in A level maths students squarely with the Curriculum 2000 reforms:

“There is widespread recognition that the Curriculum 2000 reforms which led to a new post–16 structure based on AS and A2 levels have been a disaster for mathematics. The original AS/A2 split simply did not work.”

from “Making Mathematics Count: The report of Professor Adrian Smith’s Inquiry into Post-14 Mathematics Education” February 2004 (http://www.mathsinquiry.org.uk/report/index.html).

So this makes me wonder whether the Royal Society’s conclusions are just a result of having started from a baseline at 2005. It will be interesting to see if the proportion of students taking A level maths continues to rise or if this is just a correction from the dip seen in 2002- 2005.